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PipFixAlgo

Price action · EA-029 · v1.00

PipFix IctTurtleSoup

Fades the failed 20-bar breakout the trend systems just bought

PipFix IctTurtleSoup

Backtest

GBPUSD · H1 · 2024-09-01 to 2026-09-01

Published · not all gate criteria met
Net profit
$1,697
Profit factor
1.08
Relative drawdown
8.85%
Trades
735
Win rate
73.33%
Modelling quality
100%

Test conditions. Symbol GBPUSD, timeframe H1, 2024-09-01 to 2026-09-01, initial balance $10,000, spread 1 minute OHLC, modelling quality 100%, run on Exness-MT5Real39. Past results do not predict future results.

Publish gate

CriterionMeasuredNeedsResult
Closed trades ≥ 80 735 trades >= 80 Pass
Profit factor ≥ 1.15 1.080 >= 1.15 Fail
Relative drawdown ≤ 25% 8.85% <= 25% Pass
Modelling quality ≥ 90% 100.00% >= 90% Pass
Out-of-sample not a catastrophe true true in stats.json Pass
Curve not carried by one trade true true in stats.json Pass

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Waiting behind the sign-in: ea.ex5 · PipFix_IctTurtleSoup_GBPUSD_H1_BACKTESTED.set

Limitations

Walk-forward validated on GBPUSD H1 only. Tested at 1% risk per trade on Exness data with 1 minute OHLC modelling; a different broker will give different results.

How it works

# PipFix IctTurtleSoup

**Fades the failed 20-bar breakout the trend systems just bought**

* Product name: `PipFixIctTurtleSoup`
* File: `PipFix_IctTurtleSoup.mq5`
* Category: ICT
* Default timeframe: H1
* Validated on: **GBPUSD H1** (this is the only symbol it was walk-forward tested on)
* Magic number: 8850216
* Martingale / grid / averaging: **NO - none, ever**
* Stop Loss + Take Profit: **attached to every order at the moment it is opened**
* Branding: `pipfixalgo.com` watermark locked to the chart

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## 1. What this robot does

Turtle soup is the trade against the classic 20-day breakout system. When a new extreme is made and price immediately falls back inside, the breakout buyers are trapped and their stops become fuel for the move the other way.

## 2. Exact trading rules

1. Mark the highest high and lowest low of the last 20 bars.
2. A break must exceed the extreme by 20+ points and then fail within 2 bars.
3. SELL when a new high fails and price closes back below it.
4. BUY when a new low fails and price closes back above it.
5. Stop Loss 1.5 x ATR beyond the failed extreme, Take Profit 2.8 x ATR.

## 3. Risk management built in

| Protection | What it does |
|---|---|
| Percent risk sizing | Lot size is calculated from `InpRiskPercent` and the real stop distance, so every trade risks the same fraction of the balance. |
| Fixed lot mode | Set `InpUseRiskPercent = false` to use `InpFixedLot` instead. |
| Hard lot cap | `InpMaxLot` can never be exceeded, whatever the balance. |
| One position rule | `InpMaxOpenTrades` (default 1) - no stacking, no averaging down. |
| Daily loss stop | Trading halts for the rest of the day after `InpDailyLossStopPct` percent loss. |
| Daily trade cap | `InpMaxTradesPerDay` limits overtrading (0 = unlimited). |
| Spread guard | No entry while spread is above `InpMaxSpreadPoints`. |
| Break-even | Stop moves to entry after `InpBE_ATR` x ATR of profit. |
| ATR trailing stop | Locks in profit as the move extends. |

**No martingale guarantee.** The position size function of this EA reads only the account balance, the
risk percent and the stop distance. It never reads the result of the previous trade, so a loss can
never increase the next lot size. There is no grid, no hedge basket and no recovery multiplier
anywhere in the code.

## 4. Parameters

| Parameter | Default | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| `InpTF` | `16385` | Working timeframe |
| `InpAllowLong` | `true` | Allow BUY trades |
| `InpAllowShort` | `true` | Allow SELL trades |
| `InpUseStrategyExit` | `false` | Close early on opposite signal |
| `InpLookback` | `20` | Bars that define the extreme |
| `InpBreakPoints` | `20` | Minimum break of the extreme, in points |
| `InpFailBars` | `2` | Bars allowed for the break to fail |
| `InpTrendEMA` | `200` | EMA used only to size the context |
| `InpUseRiskPercent` | `true` | Size position from % risk (false = fixed lot) |
| `InpRiskPercent` | `1.0` | Risk per trade, % of balance |
| `InpFixedLot` | `0.10` | Fixed lot when % risk is off |
| `InpMaxLot` | `5.0` | Hard maximum lot |
| `InpMaxOpenTrades` | `1` | Max simultaneous positions of this EA |
| `InpMaxTradesPerDay` | `0` | Max entries per day (0 = unlimited) |
| `InpDailyLossStopPct` | `5.0` | Stop for the day after this % loss (0 = off) |
| `InpATRPeriod` | `14` | ATR period for stops |
| `InpSL_ATR` | `1.5` | Stop Loss = ATR x this |
| `InpTP_ATR` | `2.8` | Take Profit = ATR x this |
| `InpMinSLPoints` | `80` | Minimum SL distance in points |
| `InpUseBreakEven` | `true` | Move SL to break-even |
| `InpBE_ATR` | `1.0` | Break-even trigger = ATR x this |
| `InpUseTrailing` | `true` | ATR trailing stop |
| `InpTrail_ATR` | `1.5` | Trailing distance = ATR x this |
| `InpMaxSpreadPoints` | `30` | Max allowed spread in points |
| `InpUseTimeFilter` | `false` | Restrict trading hours (server time) |
| `InpStartHour` | `7` | Trading start hour |
| `InpEndHour` | `20` | Trading end hour |
| `InpAvoidFriday` | `false` | No new trades on Friday |
| `InpMagic` | `8850216` | Magic number - keep unique per chart |
| `InpTradeComment` | `PipFix IctTurtleSoup` | Order comment |
| `InpSlippage` | `20` | Max deviation in points |

## 5. Installation

The robot ships **compiled**. There is nothing to build and no source file to copy.

1. In MetaTrader 5: **File -> Open Data Folder** -> open `MQL5\Experts\` -> create a folder `PipFix`
2. Copy **`PipFix_IctTurtleSoup.ex5`** into it
3. Refresh the **Navigator** panel (right-click -> Refresh), then drag **PipFix IctTurtleSoup** onto a
**H1** chart of **GBPUSD**
4. On the **Common** tab tick **Allow Algo Trading**
5. On the **Inputs** tab press **Load** and select
**`Settings/PipFix_IctTurtleSoup_GBPUSD_H1_BACKTESTED.set`**
(or the `_LOWRISK` version for half the risk)
6. Make sure the **Algo Trading** button in the toolbar is green

## 6. How to reproduce the backtest

1. **View -> Strategy Tester** (Ctrl+R).
2. Expert: `PipFix\PipFix_IctTurtleSoup`, Symbol: **GBPUSD**, Period: **H1**.
3. Modelling: *Every tick based on real ticks* (or *1 minute OHLC* for a fast first pass).
4. Set the date range, deposit and leverage you want to publish, load the `.set` file, press **Start**.
5. When it finishes, open the **Backtest** tab, right-click -> **Report** to save the HTML/XML report.

The measured results for this EA are in `Backtest/BACKTEST_RESULTS.md` in this folder, together with
the report screenshots. Those numbers come from an actual Strategy Tester run - the settings, symbol,
period and date range used are printed at the top of that file so anyone can repeat it.

## 7. Honest notes

* Past backtest performance is not a promise of future results. Spread, swap and execution differ
between brokers, and a different broker will produce a different curve.
* This robot trades one position at a time with a fixed stop. It is designed to survive, not to
produce a straight equity line.
* Use it on a demo account for at least a few weeks before risking real money.

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(c) pipfixalgo.com - PipFix IctTurtleSoup v1.00

**Best conditions:** H1 and H4 on majors and gold.

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